Politics 2020

[Elok]

Yang was never going to make it.  Don't particularly like anybody else.  Especially not Bloomberg.

[Rusty Edge]

I realized last night that I have never once voted to re-elect a president.

[Unorthodox]

So, and I'm just going to throw this out at face value. 

Ever since it began being tracked, Halloween mask sales have accurately predicted every election.  It's crazy and stupid, but no other metric has been as accurate. 

NO ONE IS GOING TO SALE MORE MASKS THAN [Sleezebag]. 

[Elok]

https://reason.com/2020/02/12/the-good-news-is-that-we-probably-wont-elect-a-socialist-the-bad-news-is-that-we-already-have-many-times/

Gallup poll found that, all else being equal, 69% of the population would be willing to vote for a candidate over seventy.  60% would vote for an atheist.  45% would vote for a socialist.  Bear in mind this is just hypothetical generic candidates, and willingness to even consider such a candidate.  Leaving aside everything else, this doesn't look great for Bernie.

I see two problems to avoid for the blue side.  On the one hand, they can nominate Bernie, and have [Sleezebag] win by losing the center.  On the other, they can do everything they can to nominate anyone but Bernie, depress turnout among disgusted radicals, and lose to [Sleezebag] that way.  Anyone-but-Bernie sounds like the safer tactic, because you could nominate the resuscitated corpse of Nixon and the radicals would still prefer him to [Sleezebag], but the safest bet at this junction would seem to be having someone beat Bernie to the nomination fairly.

It's also possible that, in a Bernie-[Sleezebag] matchup, everyone in the middle would stay home and it would turn into a fight between diehards.  But I think [Sleezebag] is only hardcore repulsive to the actually left-leaning.  I suspect the average American in the middle thinks he's an obnoxious ass but is more or less used to that and hasn't suffered significantly in the past four years.  If push comes to shove, abused immigrants and dead Yemenis don't vote.  Bernie's frank willingness to do things like ban private insurance sound scary.

[Buster's Uncle]

I'm strongly considering waiting until Tuesday to vote.  I'd really like to see how the wind's blowing after the SC primary.

[ColdWizard]

I'm not sure if I should waste half an hour to vote for Gabbard or keep my streak of never having voted in a primary intact.

[Buster's Uncle]

I'm annoyed to have to chose between my heart and pragmatism.  -Also thrilled that, for the first time in my adult life, the primary is still in contention when it gets here and my vote might matter.  In 37 years, I think I've only cast protest votes in the primary.

[Rusty Edge]

I'm still trying to pay less attention to reduce my primary source of stress, and my teeth aren't killing me.

I noticed that this weeks post-debate polls show some recovery for Biden. What was more interesting to me was that in head to head polls Bernie was the only one to beat [Sleezebag] in PA and WI. SO... Biden rallies on concerns of electability, but Bernie is the only electable Democrat this week. Ironic.

I suppose we'll need a corona virus thread. I have a feeling that [Sleezebag] administration mismanagement is going to make Bernie more appealing as the year rolls by. On the bright side, the virus may lead to more home schooling and sales for Elok's book. Of course to be fair, I'm always a pessimist with regard to the potential of a new disease.

[Buster's Uncle]

I do vote in favor of more sales for Elok's book.

[Elok]

Good to know we can agree on something!

(I hope that, if the coronavirus is going to be killing a lot of old people and jacking up the economy, it can at least rile China enough to get Xi Jinping garroted)

[Buster's Uncle]

Watch this from Wednesday.

This woman is purely charm and win.



-However, she was cheated out of contention weeks ago, and I have to vote Bernie tomorrow.  Real shame; Mom would like to see a woman president before she dies.

[Buster's Uncle]

Nate Silver of 538 has Biden at 95% chance of winning NC.

Screw it; I've been overthinking it, and am voting Warren after all.

[Buster's Uncle]

Done.

-My wimminz, BTW, said in the car that where they knew nothing in the state-level races, they looked for women - you would not spot Momma for a secret libber, but there it is.

[Lorizael]

I'm really disappointed with the way the Democratic primary has turned out, but as I'm not a registered Democrat, I don't really have a right to complain.

[Buster's Uncle]

I am sick of the DINO wing running my party, yes.  Howabout we act as the opposition once in a while - being the "less rat" party doesn't cut it.